Sacrificial lamb?

December 30, 2009

Michael Goldfarb thinks Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair may be the fall-guy for the failure to stop the Pantybomber before he got on Flight 253, but as much for not playing well with others in the White House as for not connecting the dots from Nigeria to Yemen to Amsterdam.

Perhaps, and it certainly sounds like he deserves a sacking, but I can think of someone who should get the boot with him.

Really, though, this near-fiasco shows that all the urgency to do something, anything, right after 9/11 accomplished was to create another level of bureaucracy, with all the inherent frictions of a bureaucracy. Rearranging the national security org chart did little other than to provide more turf to fight over. For all its flaws, the 9/11 Commission Report got this much right: the need was (and is) to tear down the barriers to communication and cooperation between various agencies so that when a father in Nigeria goes to our embassy and says “My son wants to wage jihad against you,” we can tell the State Department, who will then revoke the son’s visa and put him on a no-fly list before he can blow up a plane over Detroit.

Just as an example.

Sadly, I don’t have much faith that the bureaucracy will learn from this near-miss.

RELATED: And speaking of connecting the dots, the Ft. Hood jihadi and the Pantybomber share the same spiritual adviser. Yet, every time something like this happens, the government assures us they acted alone. There are none so blind…

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Why believing in global warming is no different than believing in magic

December 30, 2009

Look into my eyes. The Earth is getting warmer... warmer...

Because, to accept as fact the idea that CO2 and other so-called greenhouse gases are causing a catastrophic rise in the Earth’s temperature, you have to suspend the laws of physics:

In a recently revised and re-published paper, Dr Gerlich debunks AGW and shows that the IPCC “consensus” atmospheric physics model tying CO2 to global warming is not only unverifiable, but actually violates basic laws of physics, i.e. the First and Second Law of Thermodynamics. The latest version of this momentous scientific paper appears in the March 2009 edition of the International Journal of Modern Physics.

The central claims of Dr. Gerlich and his colleague, Dr. Ralf Tscheuschner, include, but are not limited to:

  1. The mechanism of warming in an actual greenhouse is different than the mechanism of warming in the atmosphere, therefore it is not a “greenhouse” effect and should be called something else.
  2. The climate models that predict catastrophic global warming also result in a net heat flow from atmospheric greenhouse gasses to the warmer ground, which is in violation of the second law of thermodynamics.

Essentially, any machine which transfers heat from a low temperature reservoir to a high temperature reservoir without external work applied cannot exist. If it did it would be a “perpetual motion machine” – the realm of pure sci-fi.

Gerlich and Tscheuschner contend that, even if carbon dioxide levels were to double from present levels, the thermal conductivity of the atmosphere would be little changed and the greenhouse effect would not take place, because the Earth is an open system, not a closed system, unlike a genuine greenhouse. If this holds up to testing, then the entire anthropogenic global warming thesis is falsified because there would be no way for CO2 in the upper atmosphere to warm the lower. The greenhouse isn’t sealed. Rising CO2 is a trailing indicator of warming, not a cause.

Unless you believe in magic.

(Via Innocent Bystanders, where this is part of an excellent post covering this and other ways AGW is disproved. Overall hat-tip to Ace.)

UPDATE: Prominent skeptic Roy Spencer argues that there is a greenhouse effect, but that weather processes greatly limit that warming.