Ooops. That the world hasn’t warmed since the mid 90s has bedeviled acolytes of the Church of Anthropogenic Global Warming. The models predicted it, but where was the heat?? Some speculated (and took refuge in) that the heat was stored in the deep ocean, I suppose where it would build and build until the heat could be stored no more and… then we’d be sorry.
Time for a new theory, I think.
…that some of the warming nearer to the surface came from the deep ocean.
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale
The paper is Liang et al. (2015) Vertical Redistribution of Oceanic Heat Content. The abstract reads (my boldface):
Estimated values of recent oceanic heat uptake are of order of a few tenths of a W/m2, and are a very small residual of air-sea exchanges with annual average regional magnitudes of hundreds of W/m2. Using a dynamically consistent state estimate, the redistribution of heat within the ocean is calculated over a 20-year period. The 20-year mean vertical heat flux shows strong variations in both the lateral and vertical directions, consistent with the ocean being a dynamically active and spatially complex heat exchanger. Between mixing and advection, the two processes determining the vertical heat transport in the deep ocean, advection plays a more important role in setting the…
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