Ooops! New NASA study: Antarctica isn’t losing ice mass after all !

October 31, 2015

But wait. I thought the science was settled. Al Gore said so…

Watts Up With That?

From the “settled science” department and former chief alarmist Jay Zwally, who for years had said the Arctic was in big trouble (only to have his prediction falsified), comes this Emily Litella moment in climate science: “Never mind!”. Curiously, WUWT reported back in 2012 about an ICEsat study by Zwally that said: ICESAT Data Shows Mass Gains of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Exceed Losses. I surmise that with the publication of this second study, the original is now confirmed. I suppose John Cook will have to revise his “Denial 101” video on Antarctica now.

antarctica-ice-map This map shows the rates of mass changes from ICESat 2003-2008 over Antarctica. Sums are for all of Antarctica: East Antarctica (EA, 2-17); interior West Antarctica (WA2, 1, 18, 19, and 23); coastal West Antarctica (WA1, 20-21); and the Antarctic Peninsula (24-27). A gigaton (Gt) corresponds to a billion metric tons, or 1.1 billion…

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Stop Me If You’ve Heard This One Before

May 19, 2015

Maybe it’s magic to them: if they say it often enough, it will come true! (Hey, I’ve always said it was a cult…)

cosmoscon

The Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) cult is getting desperate now that their dire predictions of global warming are coming under intense scrutiny since the Earth’s temperature anomalies have been flat for over 18 years.

Instead of confronting the inconvenient truth of this data and reworking their flawed models they instead choose to double down on the same tired predictions that just aren’t coming true.

From NPR:

antarctic ice

That’s a nice prediction you have there but unfortunately the data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center the Antarctic sea ice extent show that for the past 2 years the sea ice down there has been ABOVE the 2 standard deviation level of the average from 1981 to 2010.

antarctic ice 2

The AGW cult is beyond pathetic.

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New paper finds West Antarctic glacier likely melting from geothermal heat below

October 12, 2014

This is going to cause the Sad Trombone to play for the Global Warming Cult.

Watts Up With That?

Via the Hockey Schtick – A paper published today in Earth and Planetary Science Letters finds evidence that one of the largest glaciers in West Antarctica, the Thwaites Glacier, is primarily melting from below due to geothermal heat flux from volcanoes located along the West Antarctic Volcanic Rift System, i.e. not due to man-made CO2.

antarctic-volcano[1]Image from Jo Nova

CAGW proponents have alleged that West Antarctic glaciers such as such as the Thwaites Glacier and the neighboring Pine Island Glacier are rapidly melting due to man-made greenhouse gases and/or ocean heating, despite observations showing the air temperature in the Antarctic hasn’t risen since 1979, Antarctic sea surface temperatures have fallen since 2006, and ARGO ocean heat content of the Southern Ocean shows no increase at any level of the top 2000 meters since the system was put in place in 2004. The authors find the neighboring Pine Island Glacier also overlies the same volcanic rift…

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Antarctic Sea Ice Reaches New Record Maximum

October 8, 2014

The Earth is going to keep shoving the Grapefruit of Facts in the faces of climate alarmists until they finally get a clue.

Watts Up With That?

From NASA Gddard:
antarctic_seaice_sept19[1] On Sept. 19, 2014, the five-day average of Antarctic sea ice extent exceeded 20 million square kilometers for the first time since 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The red line shows the average maximum extent from 1979-2014. Image Credit: NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio/Cindy Starr Sea ice surrounding Antarctica reached a new record high extent this year, covering more of the southern oceans than it has since scientists began a long-term satellite record to map sea ice extent in the late 1970s. The upward trend in the Antarctic, however, is only about a third of the magnitude of the rapid loss of sea ice in the Arctic Ocean.

The new Antarctic sea ice record reflects the diversity and complexity of Earth’s environments, said NASA researchers. Claire Parkinson, a senior scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, has referred to changes in sea ice…

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Antarctic Sea Ice Extent sets new record, pierces 20 million square kilometer barrier

September 20, 2014

But wait… I thought the polar caps were melting and the cities would flood! I’m confused! Michael Mann… Al Gore… What’s happening? This truth is so inconvenient.

Watts Up With That?

Sunshinehours reports that the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for September 19th, 2014 is 20.11297 million square kilometers,
which is 1,535,000 sq km above the 1981-2010 climatological mean.

Another 58,000 sq km. was added since yesterday, making it the 7th All-Time Record in 7 Days.

This new record is 610,000 sq km higher than the previous daily record. The red line represents 2014 data.

antarctic_sea_ice_extent_zoomed_2014_day_261_1981-2010[1] Data for Day 261. Data source: ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/south/daily/data/

NSIDC concurs:

S_stddev_timeseries[1]A look at the data presented by NSIDC as it would be from space if there were no clouds:

Antarctics-NSIDC-sept19-2014-maph/t to Thomas Wysmuller

More data on the WUWT Sea Ice page

UPDATE: Andres Valencia reports in comments:

The University of Bremen (The new satellite “Shizuku”, AMSR2 sensor) will have to rescale their plots:

extent_s_running_mean_amsr2_previous[1]

Source: http://www.iup.uni-bremen.de:8084/amsr2/extent_s_running_mean_amsr2_previous.png

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Life found below Antarctica’s ice sheet

August 22, 2014

This has some very exciting implications for the possibility of life on other worlds in our solar system, for example on Saturn’s moon, Titan.

Watts Up With That?

Confirmed: 800 meters beneath Antarctic ice sheet, subglacial lake holds viable microbial ecosystems
Cutting-edge technology and science of the NSF-funded WISSARD project make discovery possible

In a finding that has implications for life in other extreme environments, both on Earth and elsewhere in the solar system, researchers funded by the National Science Foundation (NSF) this week published a paper confirming that the waters and sediments of a lake that lies 800 meters (2,600 feet) beneath the surface of the West Antarctic ice sheet support “viable microbial ecosystems.”

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Coldest Antarctic June Ever Recorded

July 12, 2014

Looks like the Antarctic didn’t get the memo from Al Gore, Phil Jones, and Michael Mann.

Watts Up With That?

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

Antarctica continues to defy the global warming script, with a report from Meteo France, that June this year was the coldest Antarctic June ever recorded, at the French Antarctic Dumont d’Urville Station.

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Another Antarctic sea ice record set – but excuses abound

July 2, 2014

Wait. I thought the enviro-left alarmists were screaming at us that the ice was melting and that everyone on the coasts would drown. Mother Nature seems not to have gotten the memo.

Watts Up With That?

There’s an information war on the recent Antarctic sea ice records

Guest essay by Frank Lansner

Today Cryosphere reports 2,112 million km2 more sea ice around Antarctica than normal.


Fig 1
Reality is that we right now have an area matching the size of Greenland of extra sea ice floating around Antarctica. The nightmare for the global warming believers is if the growing ice around Antarctica should be linked to cooling, and so:

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About that melting Antarctic ice sheet

May 29, 2014

volcano

One word: volcanoes.

Let me repeat that: volcanoes.


A Goracle with egg on his face

December 15, 2009

Poor Al Gore. It’s hard enough being the spiritual leader for thousands of drooling enviro-cultists and the front man for Green Statists worldwide, but do people also have to ruin his narrative and humiliate him with facts?

Inconvenient truth for Al Gore as his North Pole sums don’t add up

There are many kinds of truth. Al Gore was poleaxed by an inconvenient one yesterday.

The former US Vice-President, who became an unlikely figurehead for the green movement after narrating the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth, became entangled in a new climate change “spin” row.

Mr Gore, speaking at the Copenhagen climate change summit, stated the latest research showed that the Arctic could be completely ice-free in five years.

In his speech, Mr Gore told the conference: “These figures are fresh. Some of the models suggest to Dr [Wieslav] Maslowski that there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven years.”

However, the climatologist whose work Mr Gore was relying upon dropped the former Vice-President in the water with an icy blast.

“It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at,” Dr Maslowski said. “I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.”

Mr Gore’s office later admitted that the 75 per cent figure was one used by Dr Maslowksi as a “ballpark figure” several years ago in a conversation with Mr Gore.

Ignore the inconvenient fact that, while 2007 was the minimum year so far for Arctic ice (but we only started measuring around 1979, and it’s growing again), Antarctic sea ice is growing and reaching record highs. This is yet another example of why Al Gore should not be taken seriously: he plays fast and loose with the facts, when he’s not getting them wrong altogether. For him the “truth” of global warming is a given; having to prove it is a chore, so why bother to get facts straight when we already know what needs to be done? Facts serve policy; policy is not derived from facts. We see the same intellectual and ethical inversion at work in the leaked emails and program code from the UEA’s Climatic Research Unit. And now it’s all coming out, thanks to unnamed whistle-blowers and even Mother Nature herself.

No, it isn’t easy being High Priest.

Question not. The science is settled. Amen.

POSTSCRIPT: His Green Holiness seems to be on a roll with the mistakes.

UPDATE: Perhaps the scientist who claims Al got it wrong is himself playing fast and loose? Looks like we have two crooks caught, each pointing the finger at the other.


If only the Goracle had been there!

November 18, 2009

Apparently, new research (you know, that empirical evidence thing, not just computer models) shows that Antarctica has been far warmer in the recent geologic past – all without Man’s intervention:

A new study of Antarctica’s past climate reveals that temperatures during the warm periods between ice ages (interglacials) may have been higher than previously thought. The latest analysis of ice core records suggests that Antarctic temperatures may have been up to 6°C warmer than the present day.

The findings, reported this week by scientists from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS), the Open University and University of Bristol in the journal Nature could help us understand more about rapid Antarctic climate changes.

Previous analysis of ice cores has shown that the climate consists of ice ages and warmer interglacial periods roughly every 100,000 years. This new investigation shows temperature ‘spikes’ within some of the interglacial periods over the last 340,000 years. This suggests Antarctic temperature shows a high level of sensitivity to greenhouse gases at levels similar to those found today.

Lead author Louise Sime of British Antarctic Survey said,

“We didn’t expect to see such warm temperatures, and we don’t yet know in detail what caused them. But they indicate that Antarctica’s climate may have undergone rapid shifts during past periods of high CO2.”

During the last warm period, about 125,000 years ago, sea level was around 5 metres higher than today.

Of course, nothing yet establishes that CO2 is a cause of warming, not an effect of it. That the temperature was much higher then at CO2 levels “similar to today” hints at an independent factor. Obviously, more research is needed, hopefully without the a priori assumption that CO2 causes global warming.

Regardless, the key fact to note here is that this happened in the past with no human input.

(hat tip: Heliogenic Climate Change)